04 February 2008

Ordinary Monday

Comes between Super Bowl Sunday and Super-duper Tuesday.

Obama up by three points, 49-46, in the most recent CNN Poll. It's the first and only poll showing Obama ahead of Clinton nationally, so it is pretty significant. It might be an outlier, but it's consistent with the recent trends.

Yes we can!


Nick over at Cogitamus tries to bring my expectations back to earth, pointing out that up to half of CA voters may have already voted by mail, and Hillary had a ten-point+ lead when those votes were being cast. His spread: best case, Obama wins the day by 50 delegates, worst case, Hillary walks away with a 150-delegate lead. Either way, there's a lot of campaigning left to do.

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